Liberal Democratic Party
32.1%
−4.6 since 2026 general election (proportional vote)
LeadsShare of respondents who say they support each party, from the regular national media polls since the 8 February 2026 House of Representatives election. These are party-support figures with a large "no party" group (often 30–40%), not vote shares, so they do not sum to 100.
The Centrist Reform Alliance (CRA), which contested the 2026 election for the CDP and Komeito, was dissolved on 17 September 2026 and succeeded by Komeito and the Democratic Reform Party; CRA is blank after that. Smaller parties (Team Mirai, Reiwa/Party of Life, Conservative Party, SDP, DRP) are not shown. Proportional-vote intention is polled too rarely (7 Senkyo.com polls) to use. Election figures are proportional-block vote shares.
| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | LDP | CRA | CDP | KOM | ISH | DPFP | SAN | JCP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–18 Oct 2026 | ANN | 1,018 | 36.8 | — | 5.1 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 | |
| 17–18 Oct 2026 | Asahi | 1,108 | 32 | — | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 17–18 Oct 2026 | Kyodo News | 1,050 | 32.1 | — | 4.2 | 4.6 | 6.7 | 8.4 | 6.1 | 2.9 | |
| 17–18 Oct 2026 | Sankei/FNN | 1,014 | 34.5 | — | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 2 | |
| 17–18 Oct 2026 | Senkyo.com/JX | 1,017 | 24.6 | — | 8.2 | 2.9 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | |
| 16–18 Oct 2026 | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,019 | 34 | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Agriculture minister Yana resigns | ||||||||||
| 10–12 Oct 2026 | NHK | 1,184 | 35.3 | — | 3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.6 | |
| 9–12 Oct 2026 | Jiji Press | 1,168 | 22.1 | — | 1.5 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.4 | |
| 3–4 Oct 2026 | JNN | 1,022 | 34.7 | — | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.5 | |
| 26–27 Sep 2026 | Asahi | 1,095 | 30 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | |
| 26–27 Sep 2026 | Mainichi/SSRC | 1,944 | 26 | — | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | |
| 19–20 Sep 2026 | ANN | 1,034 | 43.2 | — | 3.2 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.4 | |
| 17–18 Sep 2026 | Nikkei/TV Tokyo | 1,007 | 41 | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | |
| 17–18 Sep 2026 | Yomiuri/NNN | 1,001 | 35 | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | |
| 17–18 Sep 2026 | Kyodo News | 1,051 | 36.1 | — | 3.5 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 3.7 | |
| 17 Sept 2026 | CRA dissolved; cabinet reshuffled | ||||||||||
| 11–14 Sep 2026 | Jiji Press | 1,142 | 23.2 | 0.4 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | |
| 12–13 Sep 2026 | Sankei/FNN | 1,017 | 34.7 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 1.9 | |
| 12–13 Sep 2026 | Senkyo.com/JX | 1,015 | 25.7 | 2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 3.8 | 3.9 | |
| 11–13 Sep 2026 | NHK | 1,177 | 35.9 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | |
| 5–6 Sep 2026 | JNN | 1,036 | 32.2 | 1 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 2 | |
| 4 Sept 2026 | Reiwa renamed Party of Life | ||||||||||
| 28–30 Aug 2026 | Nikkei/TV Tokyo | 1,009 | 39 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | |
| 28–30 Aug 2026 | Asahi | 1,143 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | |
| 22–23 Aug 2026 | ANN | 1,043 | 41.8 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 3.5 | |
| 22–23 Aug 2026 | Kyodo News | 1,052 | 34.9 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 2.4 | |
| 22–23 Aug 2026 | Mainichi/SSRC | 2,029 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | |