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State election polling · NSW

New South Wales

Premier Chris Minns (Labor)Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane (Liberal)Next election 27 March 2027

Most pollsters did not report One Nation separately in NSW until 2026; before then it is counted in Others.

Current primary vote average

Labor
30.0%
−7.0 since 2023 election
Leads
One Nation
25.7%
+23.9 since 2023 election
Coalition
22.3%
−13.1 since 2023 election
Greens
12.3%
+2.6 since 2023 election
Others & Ind.
9.3%
−8.7 since 2023 election
2PP · Labor v Coalition3 polls · to 12 Sept 2026
ALP 55.444.6 L/NP
Labor ahead by 10.8 points
2PP · Labor v One Nation2 polls · to 18 June 2026
ALP 54.445.6 ONP
Labor ahead by 8.7 points
Period

Primary vote trend

LaborOne NationCoalitionGreensOthers & Ind.
0%10%20%30%40%50%July2024July2025July2026July2023 electionSpeakman leads LiberalsSloane leads LiberalsALP 29.9ONP 25.6L/NP 22.5GRN 12.1OTH 9.7
Hover or tap the chart to read the trend on any date.

Two-party preferred

ALP v L/NPALP v ONP
4550556065July2024July2025July2026JulyALP 56.4 v L/NPALP 55.8 v ONP

Poll log

FieldworkPollsterClientSampleALPL/NPGRNONPOTH2PP ALP v L/NP2PP ALP v ONP
9–15 Aug & 7–12 Sep 2026ResolveSMH1,650 292411251055.2—
19–26 Aug 2026DemosAUPremier National1,028 32251323757—
5–12 Aug 2026InsightfullyMinerals Council1,000 2918132911——
Jul 2026ResolveSMH1,100 292311251255.6—
15–18 Jun 2026DemosAUPremier National1,038 32201327859.756.2
May 2026Resolve—1,000 322610221055—
9–14 Mar 2026ResolveSMH1,100 292510231352.8—
24 Feb–4 Mar 2026DemosAUPremier National1,032 34231521761—
16–19 Feb 2026Roy Morgan—2,108 251912.53013.55452.5
Jan 2026ResolveSMH1,145 372710—2660—
Dec 2025Spectre—— 342611161356—
24 Nov–8 Dec 2025RedBridgeDaily Telegraph1,293 38301041857—
21 Nov 2025Sloane leads Liberals
Nov 2025ResolveSMH1,145 372810—2658.5—
17–22 Oct 2025DemosAUPremier National1,016 373013—2059—
9–13 Sep 2025ResolveSMH— 382810—2359—
13–18 Jul 2025ResolveSMH1,054 383213—1857—
Jun 2025RedBridgeAFR— —————58.5—
Mar–14 Apr 2025ResolveSMH1,123 333611—2051—
18–23 Feb 2025ResolveSMH— 293814—1949—
Dec 2024ResolveSMH— 333711—20——
6–20 Nov 2024RedBridgeAFR1,088 37419—1350.5—
Sep–Oct 2024ResolveSMH1,111 323711—2050—
6–29 Aug 2024Wolf & Smith—— 323812—1850—
Aug 2024ResolveSMH1,000 303812—2049—
Jun 2024ResolveSMH1,000 323511—2252—