CDU/CSU
20.1%
−8.4 since 2025 federal election
National polls of party (second) votes for the Bundestag since the 23 February 2025 federal election. Parties need 5% (or three constituencies) to win list seats.
Forsa often does not report BSW separately (shown as blank); its abstainers and undecided are excluded from the shares, as with other pollsters.
| Fieldwork | Pollster | Sample | UNION | AFD | SPD | GRÜNE | LINKE | BSW | FDP | OTH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19–23 Oct 2026 | INSA | 1,209 | 19 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 20–22 Oct 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 1,225 | 23 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 11 | — | 3 | 10 |
| 14–20 Oct 2026 | Verian | 1,470 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 16–19 Oct 2026 | pollytix | 1,300 | 19 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 16–19 Oct 2026 | YouGov | 1,773 | 18 | 28 | 14 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 16–19 Oct 2026 | INSA | 2,002 | 18 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 3.5 | 5 | 4.5 |
| 14–19 Oct 2026 | GMS | 1,012 | 19 | 30 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 13–19 Oct 2026 | Forsa | 2,502 | 20 | 27 | 13 | 17 | 11 | — | 4 | 8 |
| 12–16 Oct 2026 | INSA | 1,206 | 18 | 29 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 2–16 Oct 2026 | Allensbach | 1,048 | 23 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 11 | — | 4 | 7 |
| 9–12 Oct 2026 | INSA | 2,006 | 18.5 | 30 | 13.5 | 14 | 10 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 6 |
| 6–12 Oct 2026 | Forsa | 2,502 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 17 | 12 | — | 4 | 8 |
| 5–9 Oct 2026 | INSA | 1,207 | 19 | 30 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 5–7 Oct 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 1,311 | 21 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 12 | — | 3 | 8 |
| 2–5 Oct 2026 | INSA | 2,002 | 17.5 | 30.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 10.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| 29 Sep – 5 Oct 2026 | Forsa | 2,502 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 17 | 11 | — | 4 | 9 |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2026 | Ipsos | 2,002 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 28 Sep – 2 Oct 2026 | INSA | 1,202 | 18 | 30 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 28–30 Sep 2026 | Infratest dimap | 1,303 | 20 | 27 | 13 | 16 | 11 | — | 4 | 9 |
| 25–28 Sep 2026 | INSA | 2,001 | 19 | 29.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 10 | 3.5 | 4 | 5 |
| 22–28 Sep 2026 | Forsa | 2,501 | 19 | 26 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 21–25 Sep 2026 | INSA | 1,203 | 19 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 22–24 Sep 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 1,346 | 21 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 12 | — | 3 | 9 |
| 16–22 Sep 2026 | Verian | 1,464 | 20 | 28 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 15–22 Sep 2026 | Forsa | 2,504 | 20 | 27 | 12 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 |