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New Zealand general election polling

New Zealand

Prime Minister Christopher Luxon (National)Leader of the Opposition Chris Hipkins (Labour)Government: National, ACT and NZ FirstElection 7 November 2026 · in 4 days

Current party vote average

National
28.8%
−9.2 since 2023 election
Leads
Labour
27.9%
+0.9 since 2023 election
Greens
14.9%
+3.3 since 2023 election
ACT
9.7%
+1.1 since 2023 election
NZ First
10.4%
+4.3 since 2023 election
Te Pāti Māori
1.7%
−1.4 since 2023 election · below the 5% threshold
Opportunity
5.8%
+3.5 since 2023 election
Others
1.1%
−2.3 since 2023 election
Party vote · government v opposition blocs6 polls · to 19 Oct 2026
48.944.4
National, ACT and NZ First 48.9% · Labour, Greens and Te Pāti Māori 44.4% · Opportunity 5.8% and others make up the rest
The 5% threshold
ACT 9.7%: above · NZ First 10.4%: above · Opportunity 5.8%: above · Te Pāti Māori 1.7%: below.
A party needs 5% of the party vote, or an electorate seat, to share in the list seats. See Election held today for the electorates in play.
Period

Party vote trend

NationalLabourGreensACTNZ FirstTe Pāti MāoriOpportunityOthers
0%10%20%30%40%50%2024July2025July2026July2023 electionLuxon becomes PMSwarbrick Greens co-leaderWong Opportunity leaderSeymour becomes Deputy PMTPM wins Tāmaki Makaurau by-electionTPM expels Ferris and Kapa-KingiIran war fuel crisis5% thresholdNAT 28.6LAB 28.2GRN 15.0NZF 10.3ACT 9.6OPP 6.2TPM 1.3OTH 1.2
Hover or tap the chart to read the trend on any date.

Government v opposition blocs

National + ACT + NZ FirstLabour + Greens + Te Pāti Māori
30%35%40%45%50%55%60%2024July2025July2026JulyGovt 48.5Opp. 44.5
Hover or tap the chart to read the trend on any date.

Poll log

FieldworkPollsterSampleNATLABGRNACTNZFTPMOPPOTH
15–19 Oct 20261 News–Verian1,0033227161180.770.7
9–19 Oct 2026The Post/Freshwater Strategy1,45827.628.714.3911.825.41.2
8–12 Oct 20261 News–Verian1,00728281510100.481.6
6–10 Oct 2026Anacta1,3522829159101.95.4—
1–5 Oct 2026Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00028.528.213.39.2121.44.82.7
1–5 Oct 20261 News–Verian1,0012928169100.670.8
24 Sep – 1 Oct 2026RNZ–Reid Research1,00025.930.814.8910.625.50.7
23–27 Sep 20261 News–Verian1,0042828161191.261
31 Aug – 27 Sep 2026Roy Morgan8593123.516111026.50
4–11 Sep 2026The Post/Freshwater Strategy1,01126.52813.68.712.62.26.32.1
4–10 Sep 2026Anacta1,70130311281027—
1–3 Sep 2026Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,0002925.913.910.58.424.55.9
27 Jul – 23 Aug 2026Roy Morgan858312415.510.57.51.59.50.5
14–21 Aug 2026RNZ–Reid Research1,00029.132.210.27.711.935.30.6
12 Aug 2026Luxon survives second leadership vote
8–11 Aug 20261 News–Verian847293012981.182.7
1–11 Aug 2026Talbot Mills—2934871335.2—
1–4 Aug 2026Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,0003127.810.17.39.11.56.12.2
29 Jun – 26 Jul 2026Roy Morgan8813225.513.58.58.5282
10–19 Jul 2026Talbot Mills—3133971234.7—
2–9 Jul 2026RNZ–Reid Research1,00028.73410.37.811.52.34.70.8
1–5 Jul 2026Taxpayers' Union–Curia1,00030.531.510.46.910.83.43.33.2
25 May – 21 Jun 2026Roy Morgan8913125.513.59.510.536.50.5
13–17 Jun 20261 News–Verian1,0012932136111.84.61.5
5–11 Jun 2026The Post/Freshwater Strategy1,03828.935.310.48.1122.1—3.2
1–10 Jun 2026Talbot Mills1,0212934136122.63.3—

Sources