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State election polling · TAS

Tasmania

Premier Jeremy Rockliff (Liberal, minority)Opposition Leader Josh Willie (Labor)Due by 2029

Tasmania elects multi-member electorates by Hare-Clark, so pollsters do not publish a two-party preferred figure. EMRS figures from 2010 to 2014 include undecided voters, so they add up to less than 100.

Current primary vote average

Labor
22.5%
−3.4 since 2025 election
One Nation
21.0%
Did not stand in 2025
Liberal
27.0%
−12.9 since 2025 election
Leads
Greens
15.5%
+1.1 since 2025 election
Others & Ind.
14.0%
−5.8 since 2025 election
Period

Primary vote trend

LaborOne NationLiberalGreensOthers & Ind.
0%10%20%30%40%50%Oct2026AprJulyOct2025 electionWillie leads LaborLIB 27.2ALP 22.2ONP 21.0GRN 15.2OTH 14.3
Hover or tap the chart to read the trend on any date.

Poll log

FieldworkPollsterClientSampleALPLIBGRNONPOTH2PP ALP v LIB2PP ALP v ONP
1–20 Sep 2026DemosAU—1,097 2228152114——
17–18 Aug 2026EMRS—1,000 2326162114——
21 Jun–6 Jul 2026DemosAU—999 2128142116——
11–13 May 2026EMRS—1,000 2425141917——
16–19 Feb 2026EMRS—947 2329151418——
27 Jan–12 Feb 2026DemosAU—1,071 233515—27——
17–21 Nov 2025EMRS—1,000 253417—25——
16–27 Oct 2025DemosAU—1,021 244115—20——
25–28 Aug 2025EMRS—1,047 243813—25——
20 Aug 2025Willie leads Labor
19 July 20252025 election result25.939.914.4—19.8——