Labor
23.9%
−13.1 since 2022 election
Pollsters did not report One Nation separately in Victoria until 2026; before then it is counted in Others.
| Fieldwork | Pollster | Client | Sample | ALP | L/NP | GRN | ONP | OTH | 2PP ALP v L/NP | 2PP ALP v ONP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26–29 Oct 2026 | Roy Morgan | — | 3,610 | 22.5 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 22 | 13.5 | 44 | 54.5 |
| 15–22 Oct 2026 | Newspoll | The Australian | 1,017 | 24 | 33 | 14 | 20 | 9 | 45 | — |
| 6–10 Oct 2026 | Resolve | The Age | 1,000 | 25 | 28 | 15 | 23 | 9 | — | — |
| 8–9 Oct 2026 | Roy Morgan | — | — | 22.5 | 26 | 14 | 25 | 12.5 | 45 | — |
| 2–8 Oct 2026 | RedBridge | AFR | 1,008 | 24 | 30 | 16 | 24 | 6 | 44 | 55 |
| 24–28 Sep 2026 | Freshwater | Herald Sun | 1,030 | 24 | 29 | 14 | 22 | 11 | 47 | — |
| 10–20 Sep 2026 | DemosAU | Premier National | 1,020 | 25 | 30 | 14 | 20 | 11 | 48 | — |
| 1–14 Sep 2026 | RedBridge | AFR | 2,371 | 24 | 29 | 15 | 25 | 7 | 44 | 53 |
| Sep 2026 | Resolve | The Age | 1,000 | 25 | 28 | 12 | 23 | 13 | — | — |
| Aug 2026 | Resolve | The Age | 1,000 | 25 | 27 | 12 | 23 | 13 | — | — |
| 6–11 Aug 2026 | DemosAU | Premier National | 1,007 | 23 | 32 | 13 | 22 | 10 | 45 | — |
| 5–7 Aug 2026 | Roy Morgan | — | 2,084 | 26 | 26 | 12.5 | 23.5 | 12 | 49 | 56 |
| 31 Jul–3 Aug 2026 | Freshwater | Herald Sun | 1,020 | 25 | 30 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 48 | — |
| 28 Jul–1 Aug 2026 | RedBridge | AFR | 1,014 | 23 | 30 | 14 | 22 | 11 | 43 | — |
| 28 July 2026 | Carroll replaces Allan as Premier | |||||||||
| 23–26 Jul 2026 | Newspoll | The Australian | 1,035 | 28 | 31 | 13 | 19 | 9 | 48 | — |
| Jul 2026 | RedBridge | AFR | 6,500 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 27 | 8 | — | — |
| Jul 2026 | Resolve | The Age | 1,000 | 27 | 27 | 12 | 22 | 12 | — | — |
| 16 Jun–10 Jul 2026 | YouGov | MRP | 4,003 | 23 | 26 | 13 | 24 | 14 | 46.2 | — |
| 17–28 Jun 2026 | RedBridge | AFR | 5,516 | 26 | 26 | 13 | 27 | 8 | 46 | 52 |
| May–Jun 2026 | Resolve | The Age | 1,000 | 26 | 26 | 12 | 24 | 12 | — | — |
| 7–11 Jun 2026 | DemosAU | Premier National | 1,056 | 21 | 30 | 15 | 23 | 11 | 45 | — |
| 5–8 Jun 2026 | Freshwater | Herald Sun | 1,034 | 23 | 27 | 14 | 25 | 9 | 47 | — |
| 2 May 2026 | Liberals hold Nepean by-election | |||||||||
| 22–24 Apr 2026 | Roy Morgan | — | 1,707 | 25.5 | 24 | 13.5 | 24.5 | 12.5 | 51 | 53.5 |
| Mar–Apr 2026 | Resolve | The Age | 1,047 | 27 | 29 | 10 | 21 | 13 | — | — |
| 19–23 Mar 2026 | Freshwater | Herald Sun | 1,062 | 27 | 30 | 14 | 20 | 9 | 48 | — |