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Federal voting intention

Canada

Prime Minister Mark Carney (Liberal), majority government since the April 2026 by-electionsOpposition leader Pierre Poilievre (Conservative)NDP leader Avi Lewis (since March 2026)Next federal election due on or before 15 October 2029 · in 1077 days

National polls of federal voting intention for the 46th Canadian federal election, conducted since the 28 April 2025 election.

Fieldwork labels show the last day of polling only, as Wikipedia lists them. Some pollsters include the People's Party in Others.

Current average · 5 polls to 21 Oct 2026

Liberal
47.8%
+4.0 since 2025 federal election
Leads
Conservative
29.9%
−11.4 since 2025 federal election
Bloc Québécois
5.8%
−0.5 since 2025 federal election
New Democratic
11.6%
+5.3 since 2025 federal election
Green
2.7%
+1.5 since 2025 federal election
People's Party
1.6%
+0.9 since 2025 federal election
Others
1.4%
+1.0 since 2025 federal election

Trend

LiberalConservativeBloc QuébécoisNew DemocraticGreenPeople's PartyOthers
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%JulyOct2026AprJulyOct2025 federal electionDon Davies named interim NDP leaderAvi Lewis elected NDP leaderPoilievre wins Battle River—CrowfootBy-elections give Liberals a majorityLPC 47.3CPC 31.2NDP 10.8BQ 6.3GPC 2.6PPC 1.4OTH 0.9
Hover or tap the chart to read the trend on any date.

Poll log

FieldworkPollsterSampleLPCCPCBQNDPGPCPPCOTH
21 Oct 2026Abacus Data1,500483269311
17 Oct 2026Liaison Strategies1,0004530614221
16 Oct 2026Nanos Research1,01650.628.36.211.52.21.6—
13 Oct 2026Abacus Data3,197463479310
12 Oct 2026Léger1,5254833683—2
10 Oct 2026Liaison Strategies1,2634529615221
9 Oct 2026Nanos Research1,03448.829.56.411.12.11.6—
3 Oct 2026Liaison Strategies1,5264628615221
2 Oct 2026Ekos2,02047.226.44.615.33.21.81.4
2 Oct 2026Nanos Research1,02049.128.26.310.93.41.6—
26 Sep 2026Liaison Strategies1,5264629615221
25 Sep 2026Nanos Research1,02249.927.95.6113.51.4—
23 Sep 2026Abacus Data2,774463479211
19 Sep 2026Liaison Strategies1,5264531615211
18 Sep 2026Nanos Research1,02648.1314.811.23.31—
12 Sep 2026Liaison Strategies1,5264432614221
11 Sep 2026Nanos Research1,01448.330.94.910.93.21.4—
9 Sep 2026Abacus Data1,479473378311
7 Sep 2026Léger1,5384933763—2
7 Sep 2026Angus Reid1,81146325122—2
5 Sep 2026Liaison Strategies1,5264531613221
4 Sep 2026Nanos Research1,02047.331.3510.83.41.6—
29 Aug 2026Liaison Strategies1,5264629613321
28 Aug 2026Nanos Research1,01743.732.66123.91.4—
27 Aug 2026Ipsos1,0014433810221

Sources