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Federal voting intention

Canada

Prime Minister Mark Carney (Liberal), majority government since the April 2026 by-electionsOpposition leader Pierre Poilievre (Conservative)NDP leader Avi Lewis (since March 2026)Next federal election due on or before 15 October 2029 · in 1077 days

Latest leadership ratings

Mark CarneyLiberal
Preferred prime minister61%
Carney government approval+30
60% positive · 31% negative
Pierre PoilievreConservative
Preferred prime minister21%
Carney government approval–
No approval figures recently
Yves-François BlanchetBloc Québécois
Preferred prime minister2%
Carney government approval–
No approval figures recently
Avi LewisNew Democratic
Preferred prime minister4%
Carney government approval–
No approval figures recently
Elizabeth MayGreen
Preferred prime minister2%
Carney government approval–
No approval figures recently
Maxime BernierPeople's Party
Preferred prime minister2%
Carney government approval–
No approval figures recently

Preferred prime minister

CarneyPoilievreBlanchetLewisMayBernierDaviesSingh

Which party leader would make the best prime minister? (mostly Nanos weekly tracking)

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%JulyOct2026AprJulyOct
Hover or tap the chart to read it.

Carney government approval (net)

Carney

Do you approve or disapprove of the performance of the Carney government?

−50−30−10+10+30+50JulyOct2026AprJulyOct
Hover or tap the chart to read it.

Leadership poll log

FieldworkPollsterQuestionResult
17 Oct 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 64/28 (+36)
16 Oct 2026Nanos ResearchPreferred prime ministerCarney 61.3%Poilievre 21%Blanchet 1.9%Lewis 3.8%May 1.7%Bernier 1.6%
13 Oct 2026Abacus DataCarney government approvalCarney 57/29 (+28)
12 Oct 2026LégerCarney government approvalCarney 57/35 (+22)
10 Oct 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 64/29 (+35)
9 Oct 2026Nanos ResearchPreferred prime ministerCarney 60.7%Poilievre 20.9%Blanchet 1.8%Lewis 3.3%May 2.3%Bernier 1.5%
3 Oct 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 66/27 (+39)
2 Oct 2026Nanos ResearchPreferred prime ministerCarney 59.2%Poilievre 20.4%Blanchet 1.8%Lewis 3.6%May 3.1%Bernier 1.6%
2 Oct 2026EkosCarney government approvalCarney 62/31 (+31)
26 Sep 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 64/29 (+35)
25 Sep 2026Nanos ResearchPreferred prime ministerCarney 61.5%Poilievre 19.6%Blanchet 1.7%Lewis 3.1%May 3.1%Bernier 1.5%
23 Sep 2026Abacus DataCarney government approvalCarney 60/25 (+35)
19 Sep 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 65/28 (+37)
18 Sep 2026Nanos ResearchPreferred prime ministerCarney 58.6%Poilievre 21.3%Blanchet 2%Lewis 3.8%May 2.6%Bernier 0.8%
12 Sep 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 66/27 (+39)
11 Sep 2026Nanos ResearchPreferred prime ministerCarney 56.1%Poilievre 21.1%Blanchet 2.3%Lewis 4.5%May 2.3%Bernier 1.6%
9 Sep 2026Abacus DataCarney government approvalCarney 59/27 (+32)
7 Sep 2026LégerCarney government approvalCarney 57/36 (+21)
5 Sep 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 66/26 (+40)
4 Sep 2026Nanos ResearchPreferred prime ministerCarney 55.2%Poilievre 21.3%Blanchet 2.1%Lewis 4.1%May 2.8%Bernier 1.5%
4 Sep 2026Angus ReidCarney government approvalCarney 62/31 (+31)
29 Aug 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 64/27 (+37)
26 Aug 2026Abacus DataCarney government approvalCarney 56/29 (+27)
15 Aug 2026Liaison StrategiesCarney government approvalCarney 60/31 (+29)
12 Aug 2026Abacus DataCarney government approvalCarney 52/31 (+21)

Sources