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2027 presidential first-round voting intention

France

President Emmanuel MacronPrime Minister Sébastien Lecornu (Renaissance)Hung National Assembly since the 2024 legislative electionPresidential election first round 18 April 2027 · in 166 days

Seat predictions

National Assembly · 577 seats
Current National AssemblySeats won at the 2024 legislative election (Ministry of the Interior groupings, from Wikipedia). Wikipedia's polling page for the next legislative election publishes no seat projections.
577seats · 289 for a majority
New Popular Front180
Ensemble159
National Rally and allies142
The Republicans39
Miscellaneous right27
Miscellaneous left12
Others12
Miscellaneous centre6

seats majority (289)

Possible coalitions

Groupings of parties that share a broad outlook or have governed together, with their combined seats in the current chamber. 289 seats are needed for a majority.

Left and centreNew Popular Front + Miscellaneous left + Ensemble + Miscellaneous centre357Majority
The right: National Rally and allies with the RepublicansNational Rally and allies + The Republicans + Miscellaneous right20881 short
Centre and centre-right parties that have backed recent governmentsEnsemble + The Republicans + Miscellaneous centre20485 short
The left: New Popular Front and miscellaneous leftNew Popular Front + Miscellaneous left19297 short

Sources