State election polling · WA

Western Australia

Premier Roger Cook (Labor)Opposition Leader Basil Zempilas (Liberal)Next election 10 March 2029

DemosAU is the only pollster publishing WA state voting intention so far.

If an election were held today

Legislative Assembly · 59 seats

Labor majority very likelyLabor would be the largest party with about 43 seats. Labor wins a majority in 100% of simulations, Liberal & National wins a majority in 0% of simulations; no party does in 0%. Two-party preferred: Labor 54.0, Liberal & National 46.0.

Labor43likely 38–44−3 on 2025

Liberal7likely 6–12no change on 2025

Nationals6likely 3–6no change on 2025

One Nation3likely 1–8+3 on 2025

Independents & others0likely 0–1no change on 2025

likely range estimate majority (30)

Seats changing hands

Seat	Held by	Estimate	Likely 2PP	Chance
Kalgoorlie	ALP	ONP	ONP 54.445.6 ALP	90%
Pilbara	ALP	ONP	ONP 52.147.9 ALP	71%
Murray-Wellington	LIB	ONP	ONP 53.146.9 ALP	67%
South Perth	ALP	LIB	LIB 51.049.0 ALP	66%

Close races

Seats the current holder is estimated to keep, but where the final two-candidate count is within 3 points of 50–50 (the holder on under 53%), closest first. Seats changing hands are listed above.

Seat	Held by	Likely 2PP	Chance
Collie-Preston	ALP	ALP 50.249.8 ONP	51%
Dawesville	ALP	ALP 50.749.3 ONP	32%
Bateman	ALP	ALP 50.749.3 LIB	63%
Forrestfield	ALP	ALP 51.248.8 LIB	73%
Kingsley	ALP	ALP 51.448.6 LIB	76%
Fremantle	ALP	ALP 51.448.6 IND	79%
Kalamunda	LIB	LIB 51.748.3 ALP	79%
Scarborough	ALP	ALP 52.048.0 LIB	86%
Riverton	ALP	ALP 52.447.6 LIB	87%
Darling Range	ALP	ALP 52.447.6 ONP	76%
Central Wheatbelt	NAT	NAT 53.047.0 ONP	81%