Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (Brothers of Italy)Centre-right government: FdI, Lega, Forza Italia, Us ModeratesPD leader Elly Schlein; M5S leader Giuseppe ConteNew electoral law (Stabilicum) passed 8 October 2026Next general election due no later than 22 December 2027
Seat predictions
Chamber of Deputies · 400 seats
No single-party majorityLatest projection: EMG, 21–22 Sep 2026. Democratic Party would be the largest group with 110 seats; 201 are needed for a majority. Ranges show the lowest and highest of the 6 projections in the 90 days to 22 Sept 2026. Seat projections under the new Stabilicum electoral law (approved 8 Oct 2026), with the centre-left (PD, M5S, AVS, IV, +E) and centre-right (FdI, Lega, FI, NM) as coalitions and National Future and Action standing apart, from the seat projections table on Wikipedia's Italian polling page. Only projections that give seats party by party are shown. "Others" in the 2022 result includes regional and overseas parties and Civic Commitment/Campobase.
Democratic Party110likely 103–112+41 on 2022 election
Brothers of Italy87likely 87–93−32 on 2022 election
Five Star Movement62likely 55–64+10 on 2022 election
Greens and Left Alliance32likely 32–35+20 on 2022 election
Forza Italia28likely 25–28−17 on 2022 election
Lega27likely 18–27−39 on 2022 election
National Future24likely 23–27+24 on 2022 election
Italia Viva13likely 10–21+13 on 2022 election
Others8likely 3–16+1 on 2022 election
Us Moderates6likely 3–6−1 on 2022 election
More Europe3likely 0–3+1 on 2022 election
Action – Italia Viva (2022 joint list)0−21 on 2022 election
range seats majority (201)
Possible coalitions
Groupings of parties that share a broad outlook or have governed together, with their combined seats in the latest projection. 201 seats are needed for a majority.
Centre-left coalitionDemocratic Party + Five Star Movement + Greens and Left Alliance + Italia Viva + More Europe220Majority
Centre-left with ActionDemocratic Party + Five Star Movement + Greens and Left Alliance + Italia Viva + More Europe + Action220Majority
Centre-right with National FutureBrothers of Italy + Lega + Forza Italia + Us Moderates + National Future17229 short
Centre-right coalition (the current government)Brothers of Italy + Lega + Forza Italia + Us Moderates14853 short