Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni (Brothers of Italy)Centre-right government: FdI, Lega, Forza Italia, Us ModeratesPD leader Elly Schlein; M5S leader Giuseppe ConteNew electoral law (Stabilicum) passed 8 October 2026Next general election due no later than 22 December 2027
Seat predictions
Senate of the Republic · 200 seats
No single-party majorityLatest projection: Only Numbers, 21 Sep 2026. Democratic Party would be the largest group with 56 seats; 101 are needed for a majority. Ranges show the lowest and highest of the 3 projections in the 90 days to 21 Sept 2026. Seat projections under the new Stabilicum electoral law (approved 8 Oct 2026), with the centre-left (PD, M5S, AVS, IV, +E) and centre-right (FdI, Lega, FI, NM) as coalitions and National Future and Action standing apart, from the seat projections table on Wikipedia's Italian polling page. Only projections that give seats party by party are shown. "Others" in the 2022 result includes regional and overseas parties and Civic Commitment/Campobase. The 200 elected seats only (life senators excluded).
Democratic Party56likely 55–60+17 on 2022 election
Brothers of Italy43likely 43–48−22 on 2022 election
Five Star Movement30likely 30–34+2 on 2022 election
Greens and Left Alliance17likely 15–17+13 on 2022 election
Forza Italia12likely 12–14−6 on 2022 election
National Future12likely 12–14+12 on 2022 election
Lega10likely 7–10−19 on 2022 election
Italia Viva5likely 2–6+5 on 2022 election
Action5likely 5–6+5 on 2022 election
Others3likely 2–3−2 on 2022 election
Us Moderates2−1 on 2022 election
Action – Italia Viva (2022 joint list)0−9 on 2022 election
range seats majority (101)
Possible coalitions
Groupings of parties that share a broad outlook or have governed together, with their combined seats in the latest projection. 101 seats are needed for a majority.
Centre-left with ActionDemocratic Party + Five Star Movement + Greens and Left Alliance + Italia Viva + More Europe + Action113Majority
Centre-left coalitionDemocratic Party + Five Star Movement + Greens and Left Alliance + Italia Viva + More Europe108Majority
Centre-right with National FutureBrothers of Italy + Lega + Forza Italia + Us Moderates + National Future7922 short
Centre-right coalition (the current government)Brothers of Italy + Lega + Forza Italia + Us Moderates6734 short