State election polling · SA

South Australia

Premier Peter Malinauskas (Labor)Opposition Leader Ashton Hurn (Liberal)Next election 16 March 2030

One Nation outpolls the Liberals in South Australia, so pollsters publish a Labor v One Nation two-party count. The 2026 election 2PP (55.7) is Antony Green's Labor v non-Labor estimate.

Pendulum

Every seat of the House of Assembly as it would fall if an election were held today, from the central estimate on the Election held today tab.

◀ For the government

Against the government ▶Estimated swing

Labor 36

24 for a majority

One Nation 5

MorphettALP 52.7

HeysenALP 53.1

LightALP 54.2

KavelALP 56.1

HartleyALP 56.5

TaylorALP 57.1

UnleyALP 58.4

ElizabethALP 59.0

KingALP 59.1

MawsonALP 59.2

GilesALP 59.3

MorialtaALP 59.8

DunstanALP 60.6

ColtonALP 61.0

LeeALP 61.5

NewlandALP 62.4

Port AdelaideALP 63.4

ReynellALP 63.6

Hurtle ValeALP 63.7

WrightALP 63.9

GibsonALP 64.2

RamsayALP 64.5

KaurnaALP 64.9

AdelaideALP 66.2

EnfieldALP 66.4

DavenportALP 66.8

FloreyALP 67.1

PlayfordALP 67.4

TorrensALP 67.5

CheltenhamALP 69.4

ElderALP 70.5

BlackALP 70.6

WaiteALP 70.9

BadcoeALP 72.5

West TorrensALP 74.7

CroydonALP 76.4

ChaffeyONP 50.3

HammondONP 51.7

NgadjuriONP 53.4

MacKillopONP 56.5

NarunggaONP 57.8

Other seats

Liberal 4

FlindersLIB 52.0

BraggLIB 54.7

FinnissLIB 56.7

SchubertLIB 63.1

Independents & others 2

StuartIND 56.1

Mount GambierIND 56.2