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Westminster voting intention

United Kingdom

Prime Minister Andy Burnham (Labour), since July 2026Conservative leader Kemi BadenochReform UK leader Nigel FarageGreen (England and Wales) leader Zack PolanskiNext general election due no later than 15 August 2029

Latest leadership ratings

Andy BurnhamLabour
Preferred prime minister41%
Net favourability+12
44% positive · 32% negative
Kemi BadenochConservative
Preferred prime minister19%
Net favourability−0.4
34% positive · 34% negative
Nigel FarageReform UK
Preferred prime minister19%
Net favourability−25
28% positive · 54% negative
Ed DaveyLiberal Democrats
Preferred prime minister–
Net favourability−8.7
23% positive · 32% negative
Zack PolanskiGreen
Preferred prime minister–
Net favourability−27
19% positive · 47% negative
Rupert LoweRestore Britain
Preferred prime minister–
Net favourability−20
17% positive · 38% negative

Preferred prime minister

BurnhamBadenochFarageStarmer

Which of these would make the best prime minister? Three-way question: Labour leader v Badenoch v Farage (Starmer until Burnham became Labour leader on 17 Jul 2026, Burnham since). Remainder: others, none or don't know.

0%10%20%30%40%50%2025AprJulyOct2026AprJulyOct
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Net favourability (net)

BurnhamBadenochFarageDaveyPolanskiLoweStarmerDenyerRamsaySunak

Favourable/approve v unfavourable/disapprove of each party leader; wording varies by pollster. Net as published (may differ from positive minus negative by rounding).

−70−50−30−10+10+30+50+70JulyOct2025AprJulyOct2026AprJulyOct
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Leadership poll log

FieldworkPollsterQuestionResult
21–23 Oct 2026OpiniumNet favourabilityBurnham 38/32 (+6)Badenoch 31/31 (−1)Farage 24/52 (−26)Davey 19/27 (−7)Polanski 16/47 (−31)
16–19 Oct 2026More in CommonNet favourabilityBurnham 40/30 (+9)Badenoch 34/29 (+5)Farage 25/53 (−27)Davey 18/29 (−11)Polanski 14/49 (−34)Lowe 15/30 (−14)
15–16 Oct 2026YouGovNet favourabilityBurnham 46/42 (+4)Badenoch 33/48 (−15)Farage 25/67 (−42)Davey 24/40 (−16)Polanski 19/56 (−37)Lowe 15/35 (−20)
9–13 Oct 2026IpsosNet favourabilityBurnham 39/31 (+8)Badenoch 28/40 (−12)Farage 25/56 (−31)Davey 19/34 (−15)Polanski 16/52 (−36)Lowe 16/47 (−31)
9–12 Oct 2026More in CommonNet favourabilityBurnham 40/29 (+11)Badenoch 35/30 (+5)Farage 26/52 (−26)Davey 19/30 (−11)Polanski 16/50 (−35)Lowe 16/31 (−15)
9–11 Oct 2026Freshwater StrategyPreferred prime ministerBurnham 41%Badenoch 24%Farage 24%
9–11 Oct 2026Freshwater StrategyNet favourabilityBurnham 42/38 (+3)Badenoch 35/34 (+1)Farage 30/54 (−23)Davey 21/29 (−7)Polanski 18/48 (−30)
7–9 Oct 2026OpiniumNet favourabilityBurnham 39/31 (+8)Badenoch 31/32 (−1)Farage 25/51 (−26)Davey 21/27 (−6)Polanski 17/46 (−29)
2–5 Oct 2026SurvationPreferred prime ministerBurnham 42%Badenoch 18%Farage 21%
3–5 Oct 2026More in CommonNet favourabilityBurnham 43/27 (+16)Badenoch 33/31 (+2)Farage 28/52 (−24)Davey 19/30 (−10)Polanski 16/44 (−28)Lowe 15/30 (−15)
2–5 Oct 2026SurvationNet favourabilityBurnham 49/34 (+16)Badenoch 42/33 (+9)Farage 38/46 (−8)Davey 37/34 (+3)Polanski 28/43 (−15)
2–5 Oct 2026SurvationNet favourabilityBurnham 47/28 (+19)Badenoch 36/31 (+5)Farage 34/49 (−15)Davey 27/29 (−2)Polanski 21/43 (−22)
30 Sep – 2 Oct 2026OpiniumNet favourabilityBurnham 39/31 (+8)Badenoch 31/32 (−1)Farage 27/49 (−22)Davey 22/28 (−6)Polanski 18/40 (−22)
30 Sep 2026Convergent OpinionNet favourabilityBurnham 60/26 (+33)
30 Sep 2026Convergent OpinionNet favourabilityBurnham 52/45 (+7)
25–29 Sep 2026More in CommonNet favourabilityBurnham 39/28 (+11)Badenoch 32/32 (0)Farage 28/52 (−24)Davey 21/29 (−8)Polanski 17/42 (−24)Lowe 17/28 (−11)
24–28 Sep 2026Lord Ashcroft PollsPreferred prime ministerBurnham 45%Badenoch 18%Farage 15%
24–28 Sep 2026Lord Ashcroft PollsNet favourabilityBurnham 40/27 (+13)Badenoch 28/30 (−2)Farage 20/57 (−37)Davey 13/27 (−14)Polanski 14/41 (−27)
23–25 Sep 2026OpiniumNet favourabilityBurnham 37/30 (+7)Badenoch 29/32 (−3)Farage 26/51 (−25)Davey 22/26 (−4)Polanski 17/41 (−24)
23–24 Sep 2026BMG ResearchNet favourabilityBurnham 33/31 (+2)Badenoch 28/26 (+2)Farage 25/48 (−23)Davey 17/28 (−11)Polanski 17/39 (−22)
22–23 Sep 2026SurvationPreferred prime ministerBurnham 37%Badenoch 21%Farage 21%
22–23 Sep 2026SurvationNet favourabilityBurnham 48/32 (+16)Badenoch 42/33 (+9)Farage 37/48 (−12)Davey 40/33 (+7)Polanski 28/43 (−15)
22–23 Sep 2026SurvationNet favourabilityBurnham 45/29 (+16)Badenoch 39/31 (+7)Farage 32/50 (−19)Davey 28/27 (+1)Polanski 19/45 (−26)
18–23 Sep 2026IpsosNet favourabilityBurnham 39/32 (+7)Badenoch 28/40 (−12)Farage 22/58 (−36)Davey 23/30 (−7)Polanski 18/46 (−28)Lowe 15/47 (−32)
19–21 Sep 2026YouGovNet favourabilityBurnham 41/36 (+5)Badenoch 36/35 (+1)Farage 26/57 (−31)Davey 26/31 (−5)Polanski 21/48 (−27)

Sources