← Back to overview
State election polling · NSW
New South Wales
Premier Chris Minns (Labor)Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane (Liberal)Next election 27 March 2027
Most pollsters did not report One Nation separately in NSW until 2026; before then it is counted in Others.
Pendulum
Every district of the Legislative Assembly as it would fall if an election were held today, from the central estimate on the Election held today tab.
Labor 44
47 for a majority
Coalition 21 LIB 15 NAT 6
Winston HillsALP 50.2
South CoastALP 50.4
DrummoyneALP 50.7
TerrigalALP 50.7
OatleyALP 50.9
RydeALP 52.5
East HillsALP 53.5
MonaroALP 53.8
SwanseaALP 55.5
RiverstoneALP 56.3
FairfieldALP 57.0
MaitlandALP 57.1
LeppingtonALP 57.3
The EntranceALP 57.6
BegaALP 57.8
CabramattaALP 57.8
ShellharbourALP 58.7
ProspectALP 58.9
LondonderryALP 59.1
LiverpoolALP 60.1
LismoreALP 60.2
ParramattaALP 60.5
HeathcoteALP 60.8
GosfordALP 62.7
RockdaleALP 63.8
GranvilleALP 64.1
StrathfieldALP 64.2
CoogeeALP 64.4
Macquarie FieldsALP 64.5
Summer HillALP 65.0
BankstownALP 65.9
WallsendALP 65.9
BlacktownALP 66.8
CharlestownALP 67.0
Mount DruittALP 67.2
Blue MountainsALP 67.7
HeffronALP 68.7
MaroubraALP 68.8
CanterburyALP 69.2
KeiraALP 69.5
WollongongALP 69.7
KogarahALP 69.7
NewcastleALP 70.9
AuburnALP 71.9
Badgerys CreekLIB 50.1
MirandaLIB 50.7
EppingLIB 50.9
WilloughbyLIB 51.7
TweedNAT 52.1
ManlyLIB 53.2
BathurstNAT 53.8
AlburyLIB 54.8
DubboNAT 54.9
Coffs HarbourNAT 55.7
Lane CoveLIB 56.1
CootamundraNAT 57.2
Castle HillLIB 58.1
KellyvilleLIB 58.2
WahroongaLIB 58.4
Port MacquarieLIB 58.6
Northern TablelandsNAT 59.0
North ShoreLIB 59.3
CronullaLIB 60.8
DavidsonLIB 61.9
VaucluseLIB 63.1
Other seats
One Nation 17
ClarenceONP 50.2
TamworthONP 50.2
CampbelltownONP 50.3
HolsworthyONP 50.5
PenrithONP 51.0
KiamaONP 51.2
Port StephensONP 51.6
OxleyONP 51.7
GoulburnONP 51.9
Myall LakesONP 52.2
HornsbyONP 52.5
WyongONP 53.0
CessnockONP 53.1
HawkesburyONP 54.9
Upper HunterONP 57.2
CamdenONP 61.0
WollondillyONP 65.1
Independents & others 8
BarwonIND 53.8
PittwaterIND 54.3
WakehurstIND 54.5
MurrayIND 55.7
Lake MacquarieIND 57.3
Wagga WaggaIND 58.2
OrangeIND 58.4
SydneyIND 59.8
Greens 3
BalmainGRN 52.1
NewtownGRN 61.9
BallinaGRN 62.0