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State election polling · NSW

New South Wales

Premier Chris Minns (Labor)Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane (Liberal)Next election 27 March 2027

Most pollsters did not report One Nation separately in NSW until 2026; before then it is counted in Others.

Period

Latest leadership ratings

MinnsLabor
Preferred premier40%
Net satisfaction+15
37% satisfied · 22% dissatisfied
SloaneCoalition
Preferred premier21%
Net satisfaction+5
25% satisfied · 20% dissatisfied

Preferred premier

MinnsCoalition: Speakman, Sloane
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%July2024July2025July2026July
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Net satisfaction

MinnsCoalition: Speakman, Sloane
−30−20−100+10+20+30July2024July2025July2026July
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Leadership poll log

FieldworkPollsterPreferred leaderNet satisfaction
19–26 Aug 2026DemosAUMinns 44Sloane 26Minns +15Sloane +5
12 Jul 2026ResolveMinns 36Sloane 16—
21 May 2026ResolveMinns 38Sloane 18—
9–14 Mar 2026ResolveMinns 38Sloane 17—
24 Feb–4 Mar 2026DemosAUMinns 48Sloane 24—
16–19 Feb 2026Roy MorganMinns 60.5Sloane 31.5Minns +15Sloane +1
17 Jan 2026ResolveMinns 40Sloane 18—
14 Dec 2025Spectre StrategyMinns 41Sloane 26—
9 Nov 2025ResolveMinns 31Speakman 19—
17–22 Oct 2025DemosAUMinns 44Speakman 25—
9–13 Sep 2025ResolveMinns 37Speakman 16—
13–18 Jul 2025ResolveMinns 35Speakman 16—
Mar–22 Apr 2025ResolveMinns 40Speakman 15—
24–26 Mar 2025DemosAUMinns 42Speakman 24—
23 Feb 2025ResolveMinns 35Speakman 14—
6 Oct 2024ResolveMinns 37Speakman 14—
11 Aug 2024ResolveMinns 38Speakman 13—
16 Jun 2024ResolveMinns 38Speakman 13—
Feb–May 2024RedBridge—Minns +20Speakman −2
21 Apr 2024ResolveMinns 37Speakman 16—
25 Feb 2024ResolveMinns 35Speakman 16—
5 Nov 2023ResolveMinns 35Speakman 13—
10 Sep 2023ResolveMinns 41Speakman 14—
16 Jul 2023ResolveMinns 39Speakman 12—
14 May 2023ResolveMinns 42Speakman 12—