← Back to overview
Generic congressional ballot (polling averages)

United States

President Donald Trump (Republican)Republicans control the House (Speaker Mike Johnson) and the SenateHouse Democratic leader Hakeem JeffriesMidterm elections on 3 November 2026

Seat predictions

House of Representatives · 435 seats
Democratic majorityLatest projection: Cook Political Report, Ratings as of 23 Oct 2026. Democratic would be the largest group with 220 seats; 218 are needed for a majority. 17 seats are rated toss-ups. Ranges show the lowest and highest of the 14 projections in the 90 days to 23 Oct 2026. Forecasters' ratings for the 3 November 2026 elections, as tallied in the "Overall" row of Wikipedia's House ratings table: seats rated safe, likely, lean or tilt for each party are summed, with toss-ups kept separate. These are ratings, not point forecasts.
435seats · 218 for a majority
Democratic220likely 212–230+5 on 2024 election
Republican198likely 189–205−22 on 2024 election
Toss-up17likely 9–21+17 on 2024 election

range seats majority (218)

Published projections

DateSourceFieldworkDemocraticToss-upRepublican
23 Oct 2026Cook Political ReportRatings as of 23 Oct 202622017198
20 Oct 2026Sabato's Crystal BallRatings as of 20 Oct 202622312200
19 Oct 2026The EconomistRatings as of 19 Oct 202623015190
17 Oct 2026Decision Desk HQRatings as of 17 Oct 20262239203
16 Oct 2026Cook Political ReportRatings as of 16 Oct 202621421200
15 Oct 2026Inside ElectionsRatings as of 15 Oct 202621218205
14 Oct 2026Decision Desk HQRatings as of 14 Oct 20262239203
14 Oct 2026FiftyPlusOneRatings as of 14 Oct 20262309196
13 Oct 2026Fox NewsRatings as of 13 Oct 202621918198
8 Oct 2026Sabato's Crystal BallRatings as of 8 Oct 202621420201
8 Oct 2026Split TicketRatings as of 8 Oct 202622513197
7 Oct 2026The EconomistRatings as of 7 Oct 202622219194
7 Oct 2026RealClearPoliticsRatings as of 7 Oct 202622620189
10 Sept 2026Silver BulletinRatings as of 10 Sep 20262309196
2024 election result215—220

Sources