Pollsters did not report One Nation separately in Victoria until 2026; before then it is counted in Others.
| Fieldwork | Pollster | Preferred leader | Net satisfaction |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15–22 Oct 2026 | Newspoll | Carroll 34Wilson 48 | Carroll −28Wilson +10 |
| 6–10 Oct 2026 | Resolve | Carroll 22Wilson 29Pickering 14three-way | Carroll −11Wilson +23 |
| 2–8 Oct 2026 | RedBridge | Carroll 19Wilson 28Pickering 8three-way | Carroll −18Wilson +17 |
| 24–28 Sep 2026 | Freshwater | Carroll 30Wilson 37Pickering 13three-way | Carroll −7Wilson +19 |
| 10–20 Sep 2026 | DemosAU | — | Carroll −14Wilson +8 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Resolve | Carroll 20Wilson 28Pickering 8three-way | — |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Resolve | Carroll 20Wilson 26Pickering 10three-way | Carroll −4Wilson +18 |
| 6–11 Aug 2026 | DemosAU | — | Carroll −16Wilson +11Pickering −19 |
| 5–7 Aug 2026 | Roy Morgan | Carroll 46.5Wilson 35.5Pickering 16three-way | — |
| 4 Aug 2026 | RedBridge | Carroll 19Wilson 32 | — |
| 31 Jul–3 Aug 2026 | Roy Morgan | — | Carroll +8Wilson +20Pickering −24 |
| 31 Jul–3 Aug 2026 | Freshwater | — | Carroll −7Wilson +18 |
| 28 Jul–1 Aug 2026 | RedBridge | — | Carroll −15Wilson +13 |
| 23–26 Jul 2026 | Newspoll | Allan 32Wilson 51 | Allan −46Wilson +8 |
| 12 Jul 2026 | Resolve | Allan 24Wilson 43 | — |
| May–Jun 2026 | Resolve | Allan 20Wilson 39 | — |
| 17–28 Jun 2026 | RedBridge | — | Allan −42Wilson +13 |
| 7–11 Jun 2026 | DemosAU | — | Allan −39Wilson +10 |
| 5–8 Jun 2026 | Freshwater | Allan 25Wilson 49 | Allan −37Wilson +15 |
| Mar–Apr 2026 | Resolve | Allan 20Wilson 39 | — |
| 22–24 Apr 2026 | Roy Morgan | Allan 42Wilson 53 | Allan −34Wilson 0 |
| 19–23 Mar 2026 | Freshwater | Allan 31Wilson 47 | Allan −33Wilson +18 |
| Jan–Feb 2026 | Resolve | Allan 20Wilson 39 | — |
| 19–23 Feb 2026 | Freshwater | Allan 30Wilson 46 | Allan −33Wilson +15 |
| 13–16 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan | Allan 42.5Wilson 51 | Allan −37Wilson +11 |