State election polling · VIC

Victoria

Premier Ben Carroll (Labor)Opposition Leader Jess Wilson (Liberal)Next election 28 November 2026

Pollsters did not report One Nation separately in Victoria until 2026; before then it is counted in Others.

Pendulum

Every district of the Legislative Assembly as it would fall if an election were held today, from the central estimate on the Election held today tab.

◀ For the government

Against the government ▶Estimated swing −10.7% from the Labor government

Labor 30

45 for a majority

Coalition 48 LIB 41 NAT 7

WendoureeALP 50.8

GreenvaleALP 51.0

Bendigo EastALP 51.4

SydenhamALP 51.6

Point CookALP 51.6

Albert ParkALP 51.7

EssendonALP 51.8

CranbourneALP 52.4

St AlbansALP 52.5

BundooraALP 52.6

KororoitALP 52.6

WilliamstownALP 52.7

Bendigo WestALP 53.0

IvanhoeALP 53.4

OakleighALP 53.8

Narre Warren NorthALP 54.1

Narre Warren SouthALP 54.2

GeelongALP 54.7

TarneitALP 54.7

LaraALP 54.9

KalkalloALP 55.0

Mill ParkALP 55.9

ThomastownALP 56.1

BroadmeadowsALP 56.4

LavertonALP 57.0

PrestonALP 57.0

NorthcoteALP 57.8

DandenongALP 59.0

Pascoe ValeALP 59.9

FootscrayALP 63.6

South BarwonLIB 50.7

CarrumLIB 50.8

ElthamLIB 51.3

ClarindaLIB 51.3

FrankstonLIB 51.4

RingwoodLIB 51.8

MacedonLIB 51.8

BellarineLIB 52.2

MordiallocLIB 52.2

BentleighLIB 52.5

MonbulkLIB 52.6

Box HillLIB 52.7

AshwoodLIB 52.9

EuroaNAT 53.1

EurekaLIB 53.3

NiddrieLIB 54.4

SunburyLIB 54.7

SheppartonNAT 54.9

South-West CoastLIB 55.3

BayswaterLIB 56.5

Yan YeanLIB 56.5

Glen WaverleyLIB 57.0

NarracanLIB 57.8

RiponLIB 58.0

HastingsLIB 58.6

Murray PlainsNAT 58.8

BenambraLIB 59.2

PolwarthLIB 60.0

LowanNAT 60.3

Gippsland SouthNAT 60.6

BassLIB 61.0

CroydonLIB 61.0

MorningtonLIB 61.1

CaulfieldLIB 61.1

KewLIB 61.5

NepeanLIB 62.8

BerwickLIB 62.9

RowvilleLIB 62.9

WarrandyteLIB 63.6

EvelynLIB 64.3

BulleenLIB 64.4

Ovens ValleyNAT 64.4

Gippsland EastNAT 64.9

EildonLIB 65.6

SandringhamLIB 66.9

BrightonLIB 67.2

MalvernLIB 67.7

HawthornLIB 71.9

Other seats

One Nation 6

MilduraONP 50.3

MeltonONP 51.0

MulgraveONP 51.1

WerribeeONP 51.5

PakenhamONP 56.0

MorwellONP 61.0

Greens 4

BrunswickGRN 56.7

PrahranGRN 64.2

RichmondGRN 64.9

MelbourneGRN 66.2